Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
JAKE CRONENWORTH
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JAKE
CRONENWORTH
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
36
Grade F
Matchup
VS Matthew Boyd · LHP
86.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
29
VS
ERA
3.60
WHIP
1.28
K%
27%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 72.3 | 90.0 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 15% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 46% |
| xwOBA | .085 | .308 |
| xSLG | .101 | .441 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 30% |
| Chase% | 25% | 28% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
72.3 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Boyd0
Tonight's Park
HR
-8%
Hits
-3%
2B
-15%
3B
+16%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
87°
Wind
15 222°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+25%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:11 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game