Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Jhonny Pereda
Seattle Mariners · New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners
MG Score
65
C+
Tonight's Matchup
61
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Jonah Tong · 91.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters · limited data
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.1
88.6
Barrel%
6.9%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
45%
43%
xwOBA
.397
.363
xSLG
.537
.606
Whiff%
13%
18%
Chase%
21%
23%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Jonah Tong.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.1
Barrel%
6.9%
Hard Hit%
45%
Sweet Spot%
48%
xwOBA
0.397
xSLG
0.537
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
53%
16/30 games
AVG
.258
OBP
.324
SLG
.355
OPS
.678
HR
1
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Athletics | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Athletics | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Kansas City Royals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Chicago White Sox | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/18 | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/16 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/15 | San Diego Padres | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/6 | Atlanta Braves | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Jhonny Pereda
Seattle Mariners · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.0 mph
Avg LA
16.3°
Hard-hit %
38%
Barrel %
15%
Outcomes (13 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
0Single
3Out
10Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.