Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros
2026-08-18 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-08-18. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Angels 4.49, Houston Astros 4.68. Model win probability: Houston Astros 53%, Los Angeles Angels 47%. Projected total runs: 9.16.
Los Angeles Angels
4.5
Predicted runs
47% to win
Houston Astros
4.7
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.