Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-05-11 · 06:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-05-11. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Angels 5, Cleveland Guardians 4.36. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 45%, Los Angeles Angels 55%. Projected total runs: 9.36.
Los Angeles Angels
5.0
Predicted runs
55% to win
Cleveland Guardians
4.4
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.