Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-05-12 · 06:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-05-12. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Angels 4.49, Cleveland Guardians 4.72. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 54%, Los Angeles Angels 46%. Projected total runs: 9.21.
Los Angeles Angels
4.5
Predicted runs
46% to win
Cleveland Guardians
4.7
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.