Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-05-13 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-05-13. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Angels 4.42, Cleveland Guardians 3.98. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 47%, Los Angeles Angels 53%. Projected total runs: 8.4.
Los Angeles Angels
4.4
Predicted runs
53% to win
Cleveland Guardians
4.0
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.