Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins
2026-08-09 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Los Angeles Angels at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-08-09. Predicted final score: Los Angeles Angels 4.5, Miami Marlins 5.16. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 57%, Los Angeles Angels 43%. Projected total runs: 9.66.
Los Angeles Angels
4.5
Predicted runs
43% to win
Miami Marlins
5.2
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.