Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels
2026-07-28 · Angel Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium on 2026-07-28. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 4, Los Angeles Angels 3.67. Model win probability: Los Angeles Angels 47%, Houston Astros 53%. Projected total runs: 7.67.
Houston Astros
4.0
Predicted runs
53% to win
Los Angeles Angels
3.7
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 7.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.