Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-06-22 · 07:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-06-22. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 4.23, Toronto Blue Jays 3.84. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 46%, Houston Astros 54%. Projected total runs: 8.07.
Houston Astros
4.2
Predicted runs
54% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
3.8
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.