Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 9:43 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays

2026-06-24 · Rogers Centre

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-06-24. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 4.22, Toronto Blue Jays 4.21. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 49%, Houston Astros 51%. Projected total runs: 8.42.

Houston Astros
4.2
Predicted runs
51% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
4.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.