Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs
2026-05-22 · 02:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-05-22. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 3.86, Chicago Cubs 2.77. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 38%, Houston Astros 62%. Projected total runs: 6.63.
Houston Astros
3.9
Predicted runs
62% to win
Chicago Cubs
2.8
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 6.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.