Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs
2026-05-23 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-05-23. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 3.83, Chicago Cubs 3.13. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 42%, Houston Astros 58%. Projected total runs: 6.96.
Houston Astros
3.8
Predicted runs
58% to win
Chicago Cubs
3.1
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 7.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.