Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs
2026-05-24 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-05-24. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 3.13, Chicago Cubs 2.85. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 47%, Houston Astros 53%. Projected total runs: 5.97.
Houston Astros
3.1
Predicted runs
53% to win
Chicago Cubs
2.9
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 6.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.