Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants
2026-08-11 · Oracle Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on 2026-08-11. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 4.77, San Francisco Giants 3.88. Model win probability: San Francisco Giants 41%, Houston Astros 59%. Projected total runs: 8.65.
Houston Astros
4.8
Predicted runs
59% to win
San Francisco Giants
3.9
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.