Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants
2026-08-12 · Oracle Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on 2026-08-12. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 4.56, San Francisco Giants 4.28. Model win probability: San Francisco Giants 46%, Houston Astros 54%. Projected total runs: 8.84.
Houston Astros
4.6
Predicted runs
54% to win
San Francisco Giants
4.3
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.