Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-04-20 · 06:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-04-20. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 3.99, Cleveland Guardians 4.6. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 57%, Houston Astros 43%. Projected total runs: 8.6.
Houston Astros
4.0
Predicted runs
43% to win
Cleveland Guardians
4.6
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.