Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals
2026-07-07 · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-07-07. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 3.68, Washington Nationals 4.45. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 60%, Houston Astros 40%. Projected total runs: 8.13.
Houston Astros
3.7
Predicted runs
40% to win
Washington Nationals
4.5
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.