Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 8:42 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals

2026-07-08 · Nationals Park

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-07-08. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 3.82, Washington Nationals 5.08. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 63%, Houston Astros 37%. Projected total runs: 8.89.

Houston Astros
3.8
Predicted runs
37% to win
Washington Nationals
5.1
Predicted runs
63% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.