Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-04-29 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-04-29. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 6.36, Baltimore Orioles 6.8. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 54%, Houston Astros 46%. Projected total runs: 13.16.
Houston Astros
6.4
Predicted runs
46% to win
Baltimore Orioles
6.8
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 13.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.