Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
2026-08-08 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-08-08. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 5.04, San Diego Padres 4.24. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 41%, Houston Astros 59%. Projected total runs: 9.28.
Houston Astros
5.0
Predicted runs
59% to win
San Diego Padres
4.2
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.