Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-09-09 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-09-09. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 4.09, Philadelphia Phillies 4.76. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 57%, Houston Astros 43%. Projected total runs: 8.85.
Houston Astros
4.1
Predicted runs
43% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.8
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
