Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers
2026-07-11 · Globe Life Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field on 2026-07-11. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 4.25, Texas Rangers 4.29. Model win probability: Texas Rangers 50%, Houston Astros 50%. Projected total runs: 8.54.
Houston Astros
4.3
Predicted runs
50% to win
Texas Rangers
4.3
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
