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Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox

2026-05-03

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox on 2026-05-03. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 6.51, Boston Red Sox 5.94. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 47%, Houston Astros 53%. Projected total runs: 12.45.

Houston Astros

6.5

Predicted runs

53% to win

Boston Red Sox

5.9

Predicted runs

47% to win

Projected total: 12.4 runs

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