Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Kansas City Royals
2026-06-12 · 08:10 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-06-12. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 4.01, Kansas City Royals 4.84. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 60%, Houston Astros 40%. Projected total runs: 8.86.
Houston Astros
4.0
Predicted runs
40% to win
Kansas City Royals
4.8
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.