Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Kansas City Royals
2026-06-13 · 07:10 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-06-13. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 4.44, Kansas City Royals 5.17. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 56%, Houston Astros 44%. Projected total runs: 9.61.
Houston Astros
4.4
Predicted runs
44% to win
Kansas City Royals
5.2
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.