Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers
2026-06-28 · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-06-28. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 4.71, Detroit Tigers 4.16. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 44%, Houston Astros 56%. Projected total runs: 8.87.
Houston Astros
4.7
Predicted runs
56% to win
Detroit Tigers
4.2
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.