Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Minnesota Twins
2026-05-18 · 07:40 PM ET · Target Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins at Target Field on 2026-05-18. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 3.73, Minnesota Twins 3.66. Model win probability: Minnesota Twins 50%, Houston Astros 50%. Projected total runs: 7.39.
Houston Astros
3.7
Predicted runs
50% to win
Minnesota Twins
3.7
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 7.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.