Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Houston Astros @ Minnesota Twins
2026-05-20 · 01:40 PM ET · Target Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins at Target Field on 2026-05-20. Predicted final score: Houston Astros 3.1, Minnesota Twins 3.82. Model win probability: Minnesota Twins 60%, Houston Astros 40%. Projected total runs: 6.92.
Houston Astros
3.1
Predicted runs
40% to win
Minnesota Twins
3.8
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 6.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.