Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ Houston Astros
2026-08-21 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-08-21. Predicted final score: Athletics 4.11, Houston Astros 4.25. Model win probability: Houston Astros 52%, Athletics 48%. Projected total runs: 8.36.
Athletics
4.1
Predicted runs
48% to win
Houston Astros
4.3
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.