Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-07-20 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-07-20. Predicted final score: Athletics 3.94, Arizona Diamondbacks 3.84. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 49%, Athletics 51%. Projected total runs: 7.77.
Athletics
3.9
Predicted runs
51% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.8
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.