Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-07-21 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-07-21. Predicted final score: Athletics 3.17, Arizona Diamondbacks 3.77. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 57%, Athletics 43%. Projected total runs: 6.94.
Athletics
3.2
Predicted runs
43% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.8
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 6.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.