Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Games

Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians

2026-09-18 · Progressive Field

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-09-18. Predicted final score: Athletics 3.12, Cleveland Guardians 3.39. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 53%, Athletics 47%. Projected total runs: 6.52.

Athletics
3.1
Predicted runs
47% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.4
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 6.5 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.