Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-05-09 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-05-09. Predicted final score: Athletics 5.63, Baltimore Orioles 3.87. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 34%, Athletics 66%. Projected total runs: 9.49.
Athletics
5.6
Predicted runs
66% to win
Baltimore Orioles
3.9
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.