Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ San Diego Padres
2026-05-23 · 09:40 PM ET · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-05-23. Predicted final score: Athletics 4.71, San Diego Padres 4.39. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 49%, Athletics 51%. Projected total runs: 9.1.
Athletics
4.7
Predicted runs
51% to win
San Diego Padres
4.4
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.