Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ San Diego Padres
2026-05-24 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-05-24. Predicted final score: Athletics 3.9, San Diego Padres 4.22. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 54%, Athletics 46%. Projected total runs: 8.12.
Athletics
3.9
Predicted runs
46% to win
San Diego Padres
4.2
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.