Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-05-06 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-05-06. Predicted final score: Athletics 6.03, Philadelphia Phillies 3.98. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 34%, Athletics 66%. Projected total runs: 10.
Athletics
6.0
Predicted runs
66% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.0
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.