Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-05-07 · 06:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-05-07. Predicted final score: Athletics 6.68, Philadelphia Phillies 4.04. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 29%, Athletics 71%. Projected total runs: 10.73.
Athletics
6.7
Predicted runs
71% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.0
Predicted runs
29% to win
Projected total: 10.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.