Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ Boston Red Sox
2026-08-07 · 07:10 PM ET · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-08-07. Predicted final score: Athletics 3.72, Boston Red Sox 4.4. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 58%, Athletics 42%. Projected total runs: 8.12.
Athletics
3.7
Predicted runs
42% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.4
Predicted runs
58% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.