Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ Boston Red Sox
2026-08-08 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-08-08. Predicted final score: Athletics 3.63, Boston Red Sox 5.22. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 66%, Athletics 34%. Projected total runs: 8.85.
Athletics
3.6
Predicted runs
34% to win
Boston Red Sox
5.2
Predicted runs
66% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.