Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ Boston Red Sox
2026-08-09 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-08-09. Predicted final score: Athletics 3.19, Boston Red Sox 4.83. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 68%, Athletics 32%. Projected total runs: 8.02.
Athletics
3.2
Predicted runs
32% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.8
Predicted runs
68% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.