Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-08-05 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Athletics at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-08-05. Predicted final score: Athletics 4.15, Cincinnati Reds 4.21. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 51%, Athletics 49%. Projected total runs: 8.36.
Athletics
4.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
Cincinnati Reds
4.2
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.