Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros
2026-08-04 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-08-04. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.32, Houston Astros 4.55. Model win probability: Houston Astros 53%, Toronto Blue Jays 47%. Projected total runs: 8.87.
Toronto Blue Jays
4.3
Predicted runs
47% to win
Houston Astros
4.5
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.