Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros
2026-08-05 · 02:10 PM ET · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-08-05. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.7, Houston Astros 5.16. Model win probability: Houston Astros 54%, Toronto Blue Jays 46%. Projected total runs: 9.86.
Toronto Blue Jays
4.7
Predicted runs
46% to win
Houston Astros
5.2
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 9.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.