Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 8:42 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs

2026-06-21 · Wrigley Field

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-06-21. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.52, Chicago Cubs 3.58. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 42%, Toronto Blue Jays 58%. Projected total runs: 8.1.

Toronto Blue Jays
4.5
Predicted runs
58% to win
Chicago Cubs
3.6
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.