Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners
2026-07-04 · T-Mobile Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-07-04. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 2.63, Seattle Mariners 2.75. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 51%, Toronto Blue Jays 49%. Projected total runs: 5.38.
Toronto Blue Jays
2.6
Predicted runs
49% to win
Seattle Mariners
2.8
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 5.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.