Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Washington Nationals
2026-07-28
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals on 2026-07-28. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.33, Washington Nationals 3.81. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 54%, Toronto Blue Jays 46%. Projected total runs: 7.14.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.3
Predicted runs
46% to win
Washington Nationals
3.8
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 7.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.