Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-05-30 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-05-30. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.56, Baltimore Orioles 4.36. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 49%, Toronto Blue Jays 51%. Projected total runs: 8.92.
Toronto Blue Jays
4.6
Predicted runs
51% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.4
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.