Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-05-31 · 12:15 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-05-31. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.92, Baltimore Orioles 4.72. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 48%, Toronto Blue Jays 52%. Projected total runs: 9.64.
Toronto Blue Jays
4.9
Predicted runs
52% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.7
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.