Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres
2026-07-10 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-07-10. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.31, San Diego Padres 3.52. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 53%, Toronto Blue Jays 47%. Projected total runs: 6.82.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.3
Predicted runs
47% to win
San Diego Padres
3.5
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 6.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
