Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres
2026-07-12 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-07-12. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.59, San Diego Padres 3.46. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 48%, Toronto Blue Jays 52%. Projected total runs: 7.05.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.6
Predicted runs
52% to win
San Diego Padres
3.5
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 7.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.